6 Our Staff Favorite Prop Bets for Liverpool vs. Real Madrid, Kalebu Mohamed Salah & Vinícius Júnior (28 May)

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While many bettors focus on the side or total ahead of the Champions League final on Saturday between Liverpool and Real Madrid, there are many other juicy betting corners in the props market.

From team totals to bets related to goals and player shots, as well as more, there is no shortage of betting opportunities for targets before the title match in Paris.

Defective Network Action Jeremy Pond, Nick Henion, Anthony Dabbundo and Brett Pund has posted a favorite prop bet ahead of a highly anticipated clash in the French capital. The quartet has made a variety of choices, showcasing many of the betting values ​​in the market.

That said, let’s look at the best match before the championship match.


Our UCL Final Top Prop Bets

ANALYSIS SELECT | ODDS BEST BOOK
Jeremy Pond Mohamed Salah – Goal anytime (+125) BetMGM
Nick Henion Liverpool TT Over 2.5 (+300) DraftKings
Anthony Dabbundo Vinícius Júnior-1 or more SOT (-125) DraftKings
Brett Pund Half With Most Goals – Second (+110) FanDuel
Nick Henion Vinícius Júnior – Goal anytime (+280) FanDuel
Jeremy Pond Liverpool TT Over 1.5 (-110) BetMGM

Get up-to-the-minute Champions League odds here.


Jeremy Pond: Mohamed Salah Nyetak Kapan Saja (+125)

Not many can take revenge when it happens in the past. However, Mohamed Salah will get it when he takes the field at the Stade de France.

In the 2018 final, Liverpool’s talisman was forced to leave the UCL final when he took on a nasty challenge from former Real Madrid defender Sergio Ramos that caused him to split his shoulders. One left the field in tears and continued to watch the Reds continue their 3-1 defeat in Kyiv.

🗣 “I’m very motivated to go to the roof especially what happened [Real] Madrid last time.

Mohamed Salah faces Real Madrid in #UCL last. 💪 pic.twitter.com/r2TqqPfpHI

– Football Daily (@footballdaily) 25 May 2022

Essentially, One is arguably the best player in the world. I don’t care who makes him fight statistics wise or otherwise when it comes to ranking global football players. But the One who is motivated with a big chip on his now healthy shoulder is another animal that Los Blancos has to deal with in this matter.

When the match between Liverpool and Real Madrid was set, I immediately looked for possibilities related to the Egyptian international scoring a goal. And getting this price was good enough for me to jump on this bet.

Four years. That’s how long Salah waited for this time. Expect one of the best performances in the Liverpool kit.

Nick Hennion: Liverpool Team Total Over 2.5 (+300)

Let’s call it the “all-goes-right” scenario for the Liverpool attack.

Over six UCL knockout round games, the Reds ’offense yielded the expected 2.1 goals every 90 minutes. In just the first three leg performances (while Liverpool might have played with more motivation), it produced 2.18 xG per 90 minutes and 12 chances of a big score, per fotmob.com.

In addition, manager Jürgen Klopp’s team has eliminated that number in three of their last four games and scored at least twice in all their Champions League matches. Furthermore, in just the last four Premier League games since the second leg against Villarreal, Liverpool have made 1.95 xG / 90 minutes, per fbref.com.

Sadio Mane continues to get better and better! 🔥

He scored more #UCL goal lost than other African players 🤩

Enjoy all 15 strikes as he prepares for his third final in five seasons 🍿#UCL final pic.twitter.com/rV8WGALkKz

– Football at BT Sport (@btsportfootball) 23 May 2022

On the other hand, the Real Madrid defense has played horribly since sending Manchester City. In four La Liga games since the second leg against Cityzens, Los Blancos allowed 1.93 xG / 90 minutes. During that range, Madrid saw Cádiz and Levante – two bottom -four in Spain’s top flight – make a combined 3.8 xG (1.3 and 2.5, respectively) in the process.

In addition, the Madrid defense has conceded at least 1.5 xG in two of their last three UCL games and at least three goals in their last two UCL games.

For that reason, I expect Liverpool to score at least two goals and I am willing to take the flyer with a probability of +300 to three goals.

Anthony Dabbundo: Vinícius Júnior-1 Or More Shots for Goal (-125)

When Real Madrid beat Liverpool from the Champions League in the quarter -finals last season, it was Vinícius Júnior there is a main reason why. His speed and ability to open the channel between Trent Alexander-Arnold, along with the Liverpool center-back, caused a variety of problems.

Virgil van Dijk returned to Liverpool and made a big difference to end Vini Jr., but the 21 -year -old winger has also made a big leap in production this season.

He has increased his shooting action every 90 from 3.2 to 5.9 overall. He also brought the ball into the penalty area, entered the box and made the chances of scoring in the clip higher. The combination with Karim Benzema has brought Real Madrid to the final and will certainly be another threat.

Pace, tricky, passing, and an eye for goals …

Vinícius Júnior has electricity this season! ⚡️⚡️

🔟 goal contribution and counting in 2021/22 #UCL campaign 🔥#UCL final pic.twitter.com/WEIV5mtrlE

– Football at BT Sport (@btsportfootball) 26 May 2022

While Reece James and Kyle Walker have generally been able to contain him in his last two losing games, Alexander-Arnold is not as effective as a defender. Liverpool made a tactical choice to push Alexander-Arnold up and take risks because he was really incredibly producing chances.

Manager Jürgen Klopp bets the Reds will create more chances than their opponents in this way, but the door will open for Vini Jr.

Because Fabinho is questionable and Jordan Henderson doesn’t cover much of the field – and he’ll be the player to fill Alexander -Arnold as he progresses – the Reds will be vulnerable here. He also added a finish this year.

Therefore, I think he will have a big role in the Real Madrid attack.

Brett Pund: Half With Most Goals – Second (+110)

Whenever we reach the final of any competition, the first half of the match can be cagey and the score is low, so I made more goals to score in the second half with a probability of +110.

We all know the last goal Real Madrid scored to secure a place in this game, but this is also a profitable UCL bet. In six knockout round matches, this same game earned all but one money.

For the England team, the Liverpool match has also scored more goals after the break, with this match earning five of the last six games in the competition.

You can also look back at how this bet has fared in the recent UCL final. During the last 10 championship games, the team has found the back of the net more in the second half than the first time on six occasions, including the last final between the two teams in the 2018 competition.

I hope there will be a goal here, so I hope it will come after an experienced world-class manager has time to make a change in half an hour.

Jeremy Pond: Liverpool Team Total Over 1.5 (-110)

Just killing the Reds ’advanced metrics with a very large sample size, I just don’t know how you don’t get this bet. Liverpool, led by Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mané and Luis Díaz, may be the hottest attackers in the world, so they scored two goals against Real Madrid’s defense that sketched out unattainable.

And if you want to determine exactly why you got the point from the Reds team with a total of 1.5 goals with a probability of -110, you just have to look at the actual number / xG in the example of the 15 games that are coming up in this match. :

  • Liverpool have scored at least twice in an impressive 12 games in all competitions, including six games that saw the EPL giants score three goals or more.
  • As for the xG data, it’s just as impressive. The Reds cleared a total of 1.5 teams 10 of 13 times the statistics recorded. There are no xG statistics for the two FA Cup matters. On seven occasions, they wound up with a minimum of 2.0 xG for their efforts.
  • Liverpool finished with 1.6 xG or more in their last five UCL losing phase games producing 11 goals, including at least three in their last four games in the competition.

If the fact that the juice is not enough evidence of support, Salah and his teammates hold a Real Madrid team that has earned 1.5 xGA or more in six of their last seven games. Even worse is the fact that Los Blancos produced a combined 7.8 xGA in their last four innings to close out the La Liga season.

Below, Liverpool have to break down Real Madrid’s defense and pass those numbers. And if you’re very confident in the Reds, Nick’s tail plays top at an even bigger hurdle if you’re feeling even friskier.

Nick Hennion: Vinícius Júnior To Score When (+280)

If there’s one weakness in Liverpool’s defense, it’s Trent Alexander-Arnold on the right back.

Over the last 365 days, Alexander-Arnold has ranked in the bottom 20 percent of Europe in all of the following defensive categories: pressure, tackle, block, clearance and winning air matches. In fact, the only defensive category that he ranks in the 80th percentile or better is interception, per fbref.com.

The problem will only get worse against Real Madrid winger Vinícius Júnior, who has proved a constant threat in the losing half. Despite only scoring one goal at 1.4 xG in Real Madrid’s last five UCL contests, the Brazilian winger has conceded four of 12 non-penalty goals since the knockouts began.

Furthermore, if you look closely at the seven concessions Liverpool made in the knockout phase, all the attacks were just on the right side, whereas all of them were just one end up on that part of the field.

Given Liverpool’s power at central defense, I don’t expect Karim Benzema to run again. Add in the fact Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson tend to push themselves forward and I believe you will see Vini Jr. have a chance to get on the scoresheet at a nice price.